The difference at the top of the conference is small at 1.2%. The Kansas City Chiefs at 27.9% trails the New England Patriots at 29.1%. The difference between these teams is widening as the Chiefs chances are down from 33 percent. Expect the playoff race to be tight. In simulations, the Browns average the #5 most wins and the Steelers average the #7 most so the difference (0.34 wins) between making and missing the playoffs is expected to be very small. There are 7 teams with at least a four percent chance of winning the conference.